//Launch wave · Oct 14, 2026

Paper Instruments

Posted by @bertgodel on Oct 14, 2026, 16:02 UTC. A launch wave under the published rule.

quoters in the first hour
24
quoters in four hours
75
repeat quoters in four hours (44%)
33
sentinels in four hours
19
rendered early quotes with X’s label
5 / 9

The Launch

  • CompanyPaper Instruments
  • Kindproduct
  • Groupno agency claim found
  • Author@bertgodel
  • Author’s followers at first read8,435
  • Views at read1,743,647
  • Quoters retrieved150
  • Quoters in 24 hours128
  • Agency roster accounts in four hours0
  • In the Doomers launch directoryyes (Doomers public launch directory, CC BY 4.0)

The Launch Post

The post as it was read, shown as written.

We are releasing Ultramarine 1 Flash, a frontier-class model built for knowledge work. It is open-source and achieves similar performance to Fable 5, while being 60x cheaper. It was post-trained by a team of 5 for ~$300k all-in. Available on API now, with weights releasing in 2 weeks.
@bertgodel

Quoters Over the First Four Hours

Cumulative quoters; the dashed line is the comparison launch (the launch this comparator was matched to).

t01 h4 h155

Minute Marks: The minute after the launch post at which each quoter count was reached.

  • 5th quoter16
  • 10th quoter26
  • 20th quoter49
  • 50th quoter117
  • 100th quoter519
  • median minute of quotes in four hours88

Agency Claims

What agencies’ own public pages say about this launch, quoted as read.

No agency claim about this launch was found on the pages read.

Who Quoted Early

Role of the accounts that quoted inside four hours, read from their bios.

  • creator21
  • founder20
  • engineer or researcher13
  • other11
  • media7
  • investor3

Every Quoter in the First Four Hours

In order of the minute they quoted. Bios and names are shown as written.

Filters

Only
75 of 75 quoters
@HighyieldHarry · High Yield Harry6————founder
@parth220 · parth7————founder
@jayendra_ram · Jay8————founder
@aapakari · Aapakari8————creator
@sobhan_nejad · Sobhan Nejad16————founder
@_amankishore · Aman17————founder
@WhaleInsider · Whale Insider20yes———media
@TheInsiderPaper · Insider Paper24yes——render unavailablemedia
@cyrilXBT · CyrilXBT24————creator
@neal_k_patel · Neal Patel26————founder
@willcb · will brown28————engineer or researcher
@ndrewpignanelli · andrew pignanelli31————founder
@alifarhat79 · Not Jerome Powell37yesyes——creator
@qifang804 · Qi Fang39————engineer or researcher
@historyinmemes · Historic Vids41yesyes——creator
@sciencegirl · Science girl44yesyes——creator
@aviral081 · Aviral46————other
@gabewise · Gabe47————other
@thedailyblock · The Daily Block48yesyes——media
@Sambags12 · Sam49————other
@VCBrags · VCs Congratulating Themselves 👏👏👏51————creator
@aresotik · ares. 🎧58yesyes—label seencreator
@garlotic · GARLOTIC59yesyes——founder
@marcusyul · marcus59yesyes——founder
@saidstetic · said61yes———founder
@DerwinPrieto · Valf0r X64yes———creator
@isamquintero · sam65yesyes——creator
@karlarboledas · karla65yesyes——creator
@Layton_Gott · Layton Gott67————engineer or researcher
@ftcarpe · carpe67yesyes—label seencreator
@greg16676935420 · greg67————creator
@zentalksai · zen.68yesyes——other
@ElonMuskAOC · Not Elon Musk74yesyes——creator
@AnatoliKopadze · Anatoli Kopadze81yesyes——creator
@thegavinbains · Gavin Bains82————founder
@igus_ai · gus87yesyes——creator
@garberchov · andrew garber - edu/acc 📚87————founder
@never_settles_ · Christopher Settles88————founder
@BoringBiz_ · Boring_Business89yes———creator
@ccatalini · Christian Catalini90———not seenfounder
@manosaie · Manosai91————engineer or researcher
@RobertMSterling · Robert Sterling92————other
@benyuls · ben.93yesyes——founder
@diz__zee · dizzee104————creator
@xennygrimmato_ · Vaibhav Tulsyan110————engineer or researcher
@mylifcc · lifcc111———not seenengineer or researcher
@AGTPinsights · AGTP112yes———media
@rudraxx13 · Rudra Satani115————engineer or researcher
@yacinelearning · Yacine Mahdid117————creator
@MikelEcheve · Mikel117————engineer or researcher
@RohitRasto · Rohit Rastogi117————engineer or researcher
@0xMovez · Movez121yes———founder
@0xCodez · Codez122yes———creator
@EXM7777 · Machina125yes———founder
@brenzhills · brenz.128yesyes——founder
@robrtcode · robert.129yesyes——other
@yoheinakajima · Yohei135————investor
@randomrecruiter · The Random Recruiter137yes——label seenother
@jameygannon · techbimbo138yes——label seencreator
@nolanholdn · Nolan Holden140————other
@sagharborcap · Sag Harbor Capital145————investor
@EspenJD · Espen145————other
@shiri_shh · shirish147yesyes——other
@wallstreetbets · WallStreetBets148yes———other
@TaylorLorenz · Taylor Lorenz149———not seenmedia
@aaditsh · Aadit Sheth160————founder
@eddiboi · EdDiboi162yes——not seencreator
@zsakib_ · Sakib🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿168————engineer or researcher
@testingcatalog · 🚨 AI News | TestingCatalog171yesyes——media
@amritwt · amrit177yes——label seenengineer or researcher
@MattHartman · Matt Hartman178————investor
@rileydcampbell · riley196————engineer or researcher
@unusual_whales · unusual_whales218————media
@mattepstein · Matt Epstein235————founder
@Ex0byt · Eric237————engineer or researcher

What the numbers do not say

These counts show when public quotes of a launch post were posted and by which accounts. They do not show who asked anyone to post, whether money changed hands, or that the quoters acted together.
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