//Launch · Nov 4, 2026
Kalshi
Posted by @Kalshi on Nov 4, 2026, 16:20 UTC. Below the launch-wave threshold.
found by the live monitor: 5+ of 150 repeat quoters within 4 h
- quoters in the first hour
- 32
- quoters in four hours
- 89
- repeat quoters in four hours (6%)
- 5
- sentinels in four hours
- 2
The Launch
- CompanyKalshi
- Kindproduct
- Groupfound by the live monitor: 5+ of 150 repeat quoters within 4 h
- Author@Kalshi
- Author’s followers at first read500,636
- Views at read464,201
- Quoters retrieved94
- Quoters in 24 hours94
- Agency roster accounts in four hours0
- In the Doomers launch directoryno
- Monitorhourly tier, detected Nov 4, 2026, confirmed
The Launch Post
The post as it was read, shown as written.
The favorite on Kalshi won 479 of 487 midterm races so far. That’s 98%, forecasted before a single vote was counted. The markets beat the polls and the models. The data 🧵 https://t.co/VMGrKCcWh2
Quoters Over the First Four Hours
Cumulative quoters; the dashed line is the comparison launch (comparator nearest in account size).
Minute Marks: The minute after the launch post at which each quoter count was reached.
- 5th quoter11
- 10th quoter19
- 20th quoter32
- 50th quoter89
- 100th quoternot reached
- median minute of quotes in four hours71
Agency Claims
What agencies’ own public pages say about this launch, quoted as read.
No agency claim about this launch was found on the pages read.
Who Quoted Early
Role of the accounts that quoted inside four hours, read from their bios.
- no role (no bio)53
- creator17
- media5
- founder4
- investor4
- other4
- engineer or researcher2
Every Quoter in the First Four Hours
In order of the minute they quoted. Bios and names are shown as written.
Filters
Only
89 of 89 quoters
| @HeeChamCi · Cham Ci | 5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Erinmaguire · Erin Maguire | 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @MountValador · Mount Valador | 9 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @profstonge · Peter St Onge, Ph.D. | 11 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @ClownWorld · Clown World ™ 🤡 | 11 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @tpapres · David Williams | 11 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @AndreasSteno · Andreas Steno Larsen | 16 | — | — | — | — | investor |
| @kangminlee · Kangmin Lee | 이강민 | 17 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @Zorvenss · Zorven | 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Protectaxpayers · Taxpayers Protection Alliance | 19 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @robyn_vo · Robyn Vo | 20 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @ginamilan_ · Gina Milan | 20 | — | — | — | — | other |
| @udeshjha · Udesh Jha | 20 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Richard_Harambe · Dr. Richard Harambe | 20 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @awkwardgoogle · Interesting things | 22 | — | — | — | — | media |
| @best_clips__ · Best Clips | 29 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @TheRabbitHole · The Rabbit Hole | 30 | yes | — | — | — | media |
| @JonnyRoot_ · Jon Root | 31 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @TheEpicStats · Geography Map🗺️ | 32 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @PeakClipsMedia · PeakClips | 32 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @powerbottomdad1 · sucks | 33 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @ArynneWexler · Arynne Wexler | 34 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @apartovi · Ali Partovi | 34 | — | — | — | — | founder |
| @jarvis_best · Jarvis | 35 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @B_3m3t_0R · B’3M3t 0R | 38 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Evan_Corder · Evan Corder | 40 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @ImMeme0 · I Meme Therefore I Am 🇺🇸 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @politicalmath · PoIiMath | 49 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @StockSavvyShay · Shay Boloor | 54 | yes | yes | — | — | other |
| @YourMomDave1 · Your Mom, Dave | 56 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @0x_ultra · ultra | 57 | — | — | — | — | engineer or researcher |
| @Dragon21Soul · Shay Stock Tracker | 57 | yes | — | — | — | creator |
| @RichardHanania · Richard Hanania | 61 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @optionscjp · Options selling with Christian | 62 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @clytntylrpte · clayton tyler | 62 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Jared_V__ · Jared | 63 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @CJ__McG · CJ McG | 63 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @ideafaktory · Steve Faktor | 64 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @tristatecucina · @TriStateCucina | 65 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @MelvinInvests · Melvin | 65 | — | — | — | — | media |
| @TangoDeltaTD · TD | 66 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @ghbaranam · سن میکله یه خروس داشت | 66 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @stocksnipa · Stock Snipa | 66 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @betangel · Bet Angel - Betfair trading | 68 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @jameswester · James Wester | 71 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @kimbatronic · Kim Milosevich | 77 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @RickLFG · rick | 80 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @nicktrimmer · Nick Trimmer | 87 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @ionpapy · Papy Ion | 88 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @JasonL_Capital · Jason Luongo | 89 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @gurgavin · GURGAVIN | 101 | — | — | — | — | investor |
| @GrindeOptions · Cole Grinde | 103 | — | — | — | — | investor |
| @je_suis_boyu · Boyu Wang | 103 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @TomSzczypka · Tom | 105 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Harshith740 · Harshith🗽 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @systemicbliss · systemic bliss | 109 | — | — | — | — | other |
| @yeselson · Richard Yeselson | 113 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @JuhanaBrotherus · Juhana Brotherus | 127 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @PaulCaf · Paul Cafiero | 134 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @BoringBiz_ · Boring_Business | 135 | yes | — | — | — | creator |
| @JordanSchachtel · Jordan Schachtel | 138 | — | — | — | — | media |
| @simransrahman · Simran Rahman | 139 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @DudeWhoInvests · Just a Dude Who Invests | 143 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @INTERIORPORN1 · INTERIOR PORN | 145 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @Hokiestrider · Dr. Hoke | 145 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @wallstengine · Wall St Engine | 147 | yes | yes | — | — | media |
| @PredictAction · Coalition for Prediction Markets | 150 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Tonio_Logique · Toniologique | 151 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @martyandrade · Martin Andrade | 156 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @WallStreetMav · Wall Street Mav | 161 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @MuItibagger · ProxyPete | 162 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @GyllingRok · Rok Gylling | 172 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @MtViewProject · Ray Osborne | 172 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @GivnerAriel · Ariel Givner | 173 | — | — | — | — | founder |
| @wil_da_beast630 · Wilfred Reilly | 175 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Michael_Gilead · Michael Gilead | 175 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @Prisonmitch · Prison Mitch | 180 | — | — | — | — | creator |
| @fleather98 · FL 🇺🇸 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @punished_casa · casa 🌐🌙 | 188 | — | — | — | — | other |
| @i_am_fabs · Fabian Pimminger | 188 | — | — | — | — | engineer or researcher |
| @hondacivicfan8 · DGeer | 196 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @CryptoKaleo · K A L E O | 199 | — | — | — | — | founder |
| @Mambapicks24 · Mamba Dyl | 201 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @PseudoNeilous · PseudoNeil | 204 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @serpinxbt · Serpin Taxt | 213 | — | — | — | — | founder |
| @randgroup · Rand Group | 214 | — | — | — | — | investor |
| @FairMarkets_US · Americans For Fair Markets | 217 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @vanhanenist · 🏴🇬🇧🇫🇰guineboudꑭ🇺🇦🇩🇰🇳🇴🇸🇪🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇵🇱🇪🇸 | 218 | — | — | — | — | — |
| @brimcmbe · Matt | 229 | — | — | — | — | — |
What the numbers do not say
These counts show when public quotes of a launch post were posted and by which accounts. They do not show who asked anyone to post, whether money changed hands, or that the quoters acted together.
Around This Launch
All launches of KalshiWave Radar for November 2026Open this wave on the mapRepeat quoters on recordHow launch waves are read
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New launch waves are reported first on @anysite_io.